Caveat emptor is Latin for "Let the buyer beware". In a nutshell it means that when you buy something and it turns over to not be what you thought it was or were hoping for you are S.To.L. The same rule does apply when it comes to the NFL as well as free agency. Every year there are some big name free agents available on the market and every year there are a few clubs willing to spend way too much for you to sign those players.
Next year everyone was raving about the Eagles and their supposed "Dream Team". Newly authorized free agent Jason Babin even went so far as to compare the actual Eagles to the Miami Warmth, but maybe that was due to the fact Vince Young held a special program on their local public gain access to TV network announcing this individual was taking his talents to Philadelphia. He then gotCullen Jenkins and Ronnie Brown to stand on a period while the West Philadelphia High school graduation marching band played in the backdrop as they announced they were likely to win 6 Super Plates.
Last year it was the Bills along with Buccaneers who were making waves wonderful their free agent signings. Whilst the Bucs did improve from a 4-12 team in 2011 to a 7-9 team very last season, a lot of that advancement could have come because of their fresh coaching staff and Josh Freeman improving from a below average QB 2 seasons ago to a...sort of average QB this final season.
Meanwhile the Bills received just as many games next year as they did in 2011, which was six, and their playoff drought is currently at an NFL high Thirteen straight seasons. Yes, perhaps the Browns have reached the 2010 nfl playoffs more recently than the Bills. A minimum of their fans can still rock Zubazsweatpants to games without fear of being mocked. What would you be more embarrassed to wear, Zubaz sweatpants or a Steelers throwback jerseys? I don't know about you but I'm going to sport the two at the same time and cause targeted traffic accidents as I walk outside.
Does this mean NFL squads should avoid the free organization market all together? The answer is obviously "no". Part of the 49ers recent success has been their ability to find quality free agents. The big difference will be they're not breaking the bank in doing this. They signed players such as Carlos Rodgers, Donte Whitner, and Randy Moss to modest short-run contracts to augment a team that is largely built through the set up. And when it doesn't work, since it didn't with Brandon Jacobs and Braylon Edwards, they're able to simply cut them without burdened by a $100 million albatross around their neck.
Anyone that's ever invested money knows virtually any deal that offers minimal danger but a potential high prize based on your initial investment is an excellent deal. Conversely, anything having a high risk and small come back is a bad idea.
If you apply that to free agents you see players such as Mario Williams as being high risk investments. If you sign a player to a $100 million contract and he plays with the high level you were hoping for, you happen to be basically getting equal deal. But if he plays down below expectations, sometimes dramatically as in the case of Albert Haynesworth, you might be losing on your investment.
In case you then apply that basic principle to rookies you have participants who could possibly far outshine their contract and those clubs are getting a much greater return of investment. Before Navorro Bowman signed his brand-new contract he was making only around 500K a year. Collin Kaepernick's first year contract is a 4 year cope that will pay him about $5 million.
By comparison Drew Brees closed a 5 year $100 trillion contract before the start of final season that paid him or her $40 million in just the first year. I'm not saying Brees isn't really worth that kind of money and I'm positive Kaepernick will sign his own extra fat second contract at some point, but it goes to show what a bargain good draft picks are.
This is hardly new or innovative information. Some of the best and most steady teams in the NFL are the ones that by and large avoid seeking big names in the no cost agent market. The Patriots, for instance, would like to re-sign Wes Welker but they're not planning to overpay him which means there exists a decent chance he could be taking part in somewhere else next season.
That may seem nuts to some that they'd allow one of the most prolific receivers amongst people today leave, but if that they overpay him they run the risk of turning into the 2011 Colts. They were a premier heavy team with most of the cap room going to a number of star players leaving little or no money to fill out other roster. After Peyton Manning went down having a neck injury we saw how many holes they had on the group.
A great QB can hide a lot of the team's flaws and it also shows that the QB place is probably the only position for the team where you have to pay way up if you have one of the best. It's the reasons you so rarely see leading quarterbacks hit the open market and that's usually only when the QB is getting towards the end of his or her career and the team by now has his backup set up.
Again, this is not a new concept and many teams have no dilemma letting a star participant sign elsewhere if they uncover his demands to expensive. Yet there are still plenty of groups with deep pocket masters "cough" Daniel Snyder "cough" that will severely overpay on free agents and will chemical substance the problem by trading absent their draft picks to obtain what they think is the hot player now.
There's also the issue of trying to determine how much of the player's production is because of expertise and how much is because of the predicament they're playing in. There exists a long list of players who offered big numbers on a great team, signed a excess fat contract with an inferior staff, and then watched as their production tumbled. While there are others who are usually maybe just in the wrong situation but have ability, sign with a new team, and immediately show improvement.
When they proclaim this year's no cost agency winners just remember that it's a bit like being announced the winner of an market. You get the big prize all others was bidding on in case by winning you now don't have enough money to pay the house loan, you didn't really win in fact.
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